La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona4 - 0Osasuna
We said: Girona 2-1 Osasuna
Girona have experienced a difficult start to the new season, but after competing in two away games, they will now have home advantage in their favour, and we think that they will produce an improved display at Montilivi to claim a narrow win over Osasuna. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
58.53% ( -0.17) | 21.68% ( 0.05) | 19.79% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
