Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.