Indonesia

3 - 2

Curacao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Curacao win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.