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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Hartpury University
0 - 2
Nailsea & Tickenham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Hartpury University and Nailsea & Tickenham.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Fairford Town FC 1-5 Hartpury University
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Nailsea & Tickenham 1-0 Reading City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartpury University win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Nailsea & Tickenham had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartpury University win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Nailsea & Tickenham win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Hartpury UniversityDrawNailsea & Tickenham
66.37% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01) 17.57% (0.004999999999999 0) 16.06% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 63.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.05% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.08% (-0.012 -0.01)49.92% (0.012 0.01)
Hartpury University Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)8.18% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.34% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)28.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Nailsea & Tickenham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73%67.27%
Score Analysis
    Hartpury University 66.37%
    Nailsea & Tickenham 16.06%
    Draw 17.57%
Hartpury UniversityDrawNailsea & Tickenham
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.55%
4-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.43%
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 66.37%
1-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.57%
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 2.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 16.06%

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