Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartpury University win with a probability of 58.46%. A win for Risborough Rangers had a probability of 21.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartpury University win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Risborough Rangers win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartpury University would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.09) 
