Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSC Farul would win this match.