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Willem II
Emmen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
JenS Vesting
Excelsior

Emmen
2 - 0
Excelsior

Romeny (63', 71')
Zivkovic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lamprou (56'), Driouech (63'), Goudmijn (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Emmen 1-0 SBV Excelsior

The teams have been largely underwhelming in front of goal of late, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards here. That said, we are backing the home side to narrowly come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.

Result
EmmenDrawSBV Excelsior
70.03% (-0.55 -0.55) 18.2% (0.291 0.29) 11.77% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (-0.646 -0.65)42.44% (0.648 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.648 -0.65)64.84% (0.649 0.65)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.319 -0.32)10.93% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.87% (-0.712 -0.71)35.13% (0.713 0.71)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (0.029000000000003 0.03)45.79% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Emmen 70.03%
    SBV Excelsior 11.77%
    Draw 18.2%
EmmenDrawSBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.22% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.03%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.142 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.2%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.77%

How you voted: Emmen vs Excelsior

Emmen
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Jan 29, 2022 3.30pm
Excelsior
0-1
Emmen

El Yaakoubi (74'), Azarkan (83')
Veldmate (73' pen.)
Luzayadio (41'), Veendorp (59')
Oct 9, 2021 5.45pm
Emmen
0-1
Excelsior

(86'), Hilterman (90+4')
Dallinga (32')
Aberkane (48'), Chacon (79'), Niemeijer (90+4')
Feb 17, 2019 1.30pm
Excelsior
2-1
Emmen
Edwards (62'), Eckert (65')
De Leeuw (59')
Nov 25, 2018 11.15am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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