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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.
Result | ||
Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
70.03% ( -0.55) | 18.2% ( 0.29) | 11.77% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.56% ( -0.65) | 42.44% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.16% ( -0.65) | 64.84% ( 0.65) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.07% ( -0.32) | 10.93% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.87% ( -0.71) | 35.13% ( 0.71) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.21% ( 0.03) | 45.79% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.44% ( 0.02) | 81.56% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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