MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:45:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK
 
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Excelsior
1 - 4
Sparta

Driouech (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Yaakoubi (20' og.), Saito (49'), Lauritsen (56'), Vriends (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Groningen 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 0-3 Utrecht
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Both teams have struggled in front of goal of late, so we expect a low-scoring affair here. Having said that, we are also backing the away side to narrowly come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
35.72% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 26.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 37.82% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.64% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)52.18% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)73.89% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)28.05% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)63.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.83% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)62.13% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 35.72%
    Sparta Rotterdam 37.82%
    Draw 26.46%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawSparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 37.82%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Sparta

SBV Excelsior
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Sparta Rotterdam
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Sparta
1-0
Excelsior
Kitolano (90+1')
van Mullem (23')

van Duinen (90')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Massop (3' og.), Brogno (42' pen.)
Chabot (18'), Brogno (32'), Fischer (85'), Floranus (88')
Messaoud (5'), Van Duinen (44'), Hadouir (86')
Karami (30'), van Duinen (44'), de Wijs (66')
Oct 21, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-1
Sparta
Massop (54')
Koolwijk (60'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (75'), de Wijs (85')
Goodwin (86')
Dougall (34'), Floranus (71')
Apr 7, 2017 7pm
Sparta
2-3
Excelsior
Brogno (10'), Pusic (87')
Hasselbaink (24', 48'), Van Duinen (44')
Fortes (50'), Hadouir (89')
Nov 19, 2016 7.45pm
Excelsior
3-2
Sparta
Elbers (26'), Ribeiro (30'), Hasselbaink (65')
Elbers (60')
Brogno (23'), Dumfries (73')
Verhaar (65'), Dumfries (83'), Breuer (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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