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AZ Alkmaar
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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Almere City
0 - 0
AZ


Jacobs (43'), Robinet (77')
FT

Addai (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 2-1 Excelsior
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 AZ
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Almere City 0-2 AZ Alkmaar

Both sides are on a rough patch at the moment, but AZ still boast significantly more quality all over the pitch, and we are backing them to emerge as winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawAZ Alkmaar
29.86% (0.134 0.13) 24.68% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 45.46% (-0.212 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.65% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (-0.267 -0.27)46.14% (0.261 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.251 -0.25)68.44% (0.246 0.25)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.85% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)64.71% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)20.38% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.2% (-0.317 -0.32)52.79% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 29.86%
    AZ Alkmaar 45.46%
    Draw 24.68%
Almere CityDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 7.31% (0.072 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.54% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 45.46%

How you voted: Almere City vs AZ

Almere City
12.5%
Draw
6.3%
AZ Alkmaar
81.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
4-1
Almere City
Pavlidis (7', 90+2'), De Wit (66'), Moller Wolfe (80')
Moller Wolfe (88'), Clasie (90+4')
Mbe Soh (56')
van Bruggen (23'), Jacobs (64'), Resink (73'), Kitala (81'), Floranus (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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