EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
One Call Stadium
Mansfield1 - 1Derby
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Mansfield Town and Derby County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Hartlepool
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Derby
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%).
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Derby County |
45.44% ( -1.44) | 26.07% ( 0.56) | 28.49% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
