EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Cheltenham0 - 2Newport
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Cheltenham Town and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
20.7% ( 2.74) | 22.97% ( 1.19) | 56.33% ( -3.93) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
