Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%).