EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Nott'm Forest0 - 1Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Premier League
We said: Nottingham Forest 3-2 Burnley
Nottingham Forest and Burnley have played a combined total of five matches this season, with each clash producing at least three goals. For that reason, we expect the two sides to serve up an entertaining encounter on Trentside, with Forest edging the contest thanks to their strong home record. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Burnley |
23.99% ( 0.06) | 24.25% ( 0) | 51.76% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
