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EFL Cup
Forest Green Rovers
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Portsmouth

Forest Green
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Omotoye (24')
Robertson (17'), Bunker (23'), Robson (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yengi (30', 75' pen.), Swanson (52')
Yengi (12'), Scully (32'), Devlin (58')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Portsmouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawPortsmouth
16.82% (2.085 2.09) 21.71% (1.212 1.21) 61.48% (-3.296 -3.3)
Both teams to score 50.01% (0.872 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94% (-1.299 -1.3)47.06% (1.298 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (-1.224 -1.22)69.3% (1.222 1.22)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.7% (1.974 1.97)41.31% (-1.975 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.17% (1.697 1.7)77.83% (-1.698 -1.7)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21% (-1.431 -1.43)14.79% (1.43 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.94% (-2.802 -2.8)43.06% (2.801 2.8)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 16.82%
    Portsmouth 61.47%
    Draw 21.7%
Forest Green RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 5.4% (0.558 0.56)
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.482 0.48)
2-0 @ 2.39% (0.36 0.36)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.205 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.82%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.571 0.57)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.327 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.253 0.25)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 11.15% (-0.56 -0.56)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.11% (-0.751 -0.75)
1-3 @ 6.29% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-4 @ 3.4% (-0.558 -0.56)
1-4 @ 3% (-0.309 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61.47%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Portsmouth

Forest Green Rovers
18.2%
Draw
36.4%
Portsmouth
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Portsmouth
1-0
Forest Green
Dale (51')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Forest Green
0-1
Portsmouth
Raggett (17')
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