Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.