Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.