Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oss had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Oss win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
