Groningen

4 - 1

Jong Ajax

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.