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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RKC Waalwijk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RKC Waalwijk.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
52.07% ( -0.02) | 23.4% ( -0.01) | 24.53% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( 0.09) | 44.31% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% ( 0.09) | 66.68% ( -0.09) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.97% ( 0.02) | 17.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.82% ( 0.04) | 47.18% ( -0.04) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.09% ( 0.08) | 31.91% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.64% ( 0.09) | 68.35% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |