Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 54.59%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.