Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.