Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Helmond Sport would win this match.
