Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.56%) and 1-3 (5.41%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.