MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:41:28| >> :600:658508:658508:
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Fortuna Dusseldorf logo

St Pauli
2 - 2
Dusseldorf

Hartel (60' pen.), Boukhalfa (120+1')
Burchert (37'), Hurzeler (52'), Mets (97'), Saad (117'), Saliakas (117')
Hurzeler (0')
FT
(aet)
Vermeij (38' pen.), Tanaka (99')
Hoffmann (55')
Dusseldorf win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between St Pauli and Fortuna Dusseldorf, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We say: St Pauli 2-1 Fortuna Dusseldorf

 Having beaten Dusseldorf in the league away from home on Saturday, St Pauli will sense an amazing opportunity to reach only their second ever DFB-Pokal semi-final. However, the two-time champions are unlikely to make things easy for them. We expect St Pauli to continue their impressive season so far by narrowly dispatching Dusseldorf once again, though, with the prospect of facing another team from outside of the Bundesliga in the final four a distinct possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%).

Result
St PauliDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
48.68% (0.172 0.17) 23.33% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 27.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (0.087000000000003 0.09)41.11% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.5% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91% (0.099999999999994 0.1)17.1% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (0.17400000000001 0.17)47.29% (-0.17 -0.17)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)27.58% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)63.11% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 48.68%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 27.99%
    Draw 23.32%
St PauliDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 48.68%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.99%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Dusseldorf

St Pauli
80.0%
Draw
17.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dusseldorf
1-2
St Pauli
Tzolis (83')
Tzolis (30'), de Wijs (65')
Hartel (16' pen., 26')
Vasilj (32'), Kemlein (51')
Aug 5, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Metcalfe (52'), Hurzeler (53'), Sinani (90+5')
Mets (83')
Gavory (88')
May 13, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
St Pauli
0-0
Dusseldorf
Mets (39')
Hoffmann (53'), Ginczek (60'), Zimmermann (76'), Klarer (81')
Nov 5, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 15
Dusseldorf
1-0
St Pauli
Hennings (22')
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
St Pauli
2-0
Dusseldorf
Hartel (65'), Dzwigala (83')
Buchtmann (20'), Irvine (85')

Piotrowski (50'), Koutris (60')
rhs 2.0
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