St Pauli

2 - 0

Kaiserslautern

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.