MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:16:57| >> :60:2951:2951:
South Africa national football team
COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Botswana national football team

South Africa
2 - 1
Botswana

Rayners (66' pen.), Mogaila (67')
Human (71'), Mthethwa (86'), Makume (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kgamanyane (63')
Kopelang (64')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between South Africa and Botswana.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
COSAFA Cup
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Namibia
Wednesday, July 5 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eswatini 0-1 Botswana
Wednesday, July 5 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawBotswana
56.8% (-1.008 -1.01) 27.49% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 15.71% (0.939 0.94)
Both teams to score 33.71% (1.375 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.19% (0.825 0.82)67.81% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.19% (0.545 0.55)85.81% (-0.542 -0.54)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)24.61% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)59.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.71% (1.861 1.86)55.28% (-1.858 -1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.95% (1.073 1.07)88.05% (-1.069 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 56.8%
    Botswana 15.71%
    Draw 27.48%
South AfricaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 19.07% (-0.63 -0.63)
2-0 @ 13.37% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.182 0.18)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 56.8%
0-0 @ 13.6% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 2.35% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.35% (0.265 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 15.71%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 5pm
International Friendly
South Africa
1-0
Botswana
Mokoena (38')
Jul 17, 2022 9am
Fifth-Place Playoff
South Africa
2-1
Botswana
Van Wyk (34'), Rasebotja (80')
Mzimela (64'), Shezi (90+3')
Kesekile (90+3')
Kolagano (32')
Lekoba (79')
Jul 6, 2021 4pm
Group Stage
South Africa
1-0
Botswana
Malinga (67')
De Reuck (89')

Mohutsiwa (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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