Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
FNB Stadium
South Africa2 - 1Morocco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: South Africa 0-1 Morocco
South Africa are currently on a fine run of results and will be backing themselves this weekend in front of their home supporters. However, we expect Morocco to have too much quality for the Bafana Bafana. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we fancy the Atlas Lions coming out on top this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Morocco |
53.14% ( 2.37) | 26.36% ( -0.35) | 20.5% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 43% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
