MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:12:19| >> :60:163:163:
Morocco national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
Peru national football team

Morocco
0 - 0
Peru


Boufal (78')
FT

Yotun (15'), Araujo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Morocco and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 25 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 2-0 Peru
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Morocco 1-1 Peru

 Fresh off another emotional high, we would not be surprised to see a slight letdown from the Moroccans in this match, particularly given that they do not have much to play for until the African Cup of Nations commences next January. Peru, meanwhile, are a strong and formidable squad who, like Morocco, have lots of solid continuity and strength, and we expect them to present a formidable challenge to the Atlas Lions on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 46.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawPeru
46.06% (0.111 0.11) 27.75% (-0.061 -0.06) 26.18% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.01% (0.128 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (0.18 0.18)60.06% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.138 0.14)80.29% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (0.13799999999999 0.14)26.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (0.186 0.19)61.15% (-0.188 -0.19)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (0.058 0.06)39.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (0.056000000000001 0.06)75.81% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 46.06%
    Peru 26.18%
    Draw 27.75%
MoroccoDrawPeru
1-0 @ 13.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 46.06%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Morocco vs Peru

Morocco
73.3%
Draw
12.9%
Peru
13.8%
116
rhs 2.0
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