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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 31, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 0
Tachira

Borja (51', 85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gutierrez (21')
Gutierrez (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Deportivo Tachira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, May 25 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Deportivo Tachira

All competitions
Last Game: Tachira 0-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: River Plate 2-0 Deportivo Tachira

 First place is virtually a lock for River Plate, so they may be a little cagey in this encounter, but they have more than enough depth to find a way through Tachira, who do not have any solid chance creators on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.99%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.93%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawDeportivo Tachira
81.99% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61) 12.69% (0.413 0.41) 5.31% (0.1951 0.2)
Both teams to score 37.62% (-0.229 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (-1.117 -1.12)39.53% (1.118 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-1.175 -1.18)61.88% (1.174 1.17)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.61% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)7.38% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.37% (-0.96900000000001 -0.97)26.63% (0.969 0.97)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.62% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)59.38% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.67% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)90.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 81.98%
    Deportivo Tachira 5.31%
    Draw 12.69%
River PlateDrawDeportivo Tachira
2-0 @ 14.88% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 12.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.37 0.37)
4-0 @ 8.42% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
5-1 @ 2.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.91% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 81.98%
1-1 @ 5.96% (0.178 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 2.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 12.69%
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 1.55% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 5.31%

How you voted: River Plate vs Tachira

River Plate
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Deportivo Tachira
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Tachira
0-2
River Plate

Benitez (9'), Chacon (70')
Boselli (72'), Fonseca (79')
Fernandez (7'), Boselli (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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