MX23RW : Monday, December 23 19:07:51| >> :600:2150011:2150011:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
0 - 1
Nacional


Vargas (38'), Cova (72')
Hernandez (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castro (53')
Oliva (44'), Castro (52'), Polenta (60'), Galeano (69'), Cairus (77'), Carneiro (79')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Tachira 1-1 Libertad
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Nacional 1-4 Fenix
Saturday, May 11 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Deportivo TachiraDrawNacional
31.16% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 41.49% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.54% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.47% (0.012 0.01)77.53% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)33.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)69.86% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.050000000000011 0.05)26.84% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85% (0.067 0.07)62.14% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Tachira 31.16%
    Nacional 41.48%
    Draw 27.35%
Deportivo TachiraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.48%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Nacional
2-1
Tachira
Castro (14'), Recoba (21')
Castro (45'), Ruiz Diaz (71'), Recoba (71')
Ruiz Diaz (30')
Vivas (33'), Robles (55'), Ruiz Diaz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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