Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Independiente2 - 3Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Palmeiras |
36.71% ( 0.23) | 26.95% ( 0.04) | 36.34% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.08% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
