MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:17:13| >> :120:7709:7709:
Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui

Independiente
3 - 2
Argentinos Jrs

Faravelli (23'), Diaz (48'), Rodriguez (90')
Fernandez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Carabajal (44' og.), Heredia (87')
Moyano (86')
Dominguez (90+7'), Gabriel Montiel (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Independiente del Valle and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-1 Defensa
Saturday, June 24 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente del Valle 1-0 Argentinos Juniors

 With both teams already through to the knockout stages, we do not expect to see a particularly entertaining encounter on Thursday. Independiente have been incredibly tough to beat on home soil in recent years and we believe that they have enough about them to secure a tight victory and top spot in Group E as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawArgentinos Juniors
37.3% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 26.83% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 35.87%
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-0.055 -0.05)53.69% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)75.18% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)27.84% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.44% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)64.52% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 37.3%
    Argentinos Juniors 35.87%
    Draw 26.83%
Independiente del ValleDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 37.3%
1-1 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Independiente vs Argentinos Jrs

Independiente del Valle
69.2%
Draw
0.0%
Argentinos Juniors
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Argentinos Jrs
1-0
Independiente
Cabrera (46')
rhs 2.0
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