Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeones Olímpicos
Boston River3 - 1Zamora
Costa (23'), Acuna (55'), Gomez (64')
Sosa (21'), Acuna (58')
Sosa (21'), Acuna (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Magallan (75')
Dolgetta (53'), Velasquez (72'), Vargas (78'), Martinez (86')
Dolgetta (53'), Velasquez (72'), Vargas (78'), Martinez (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Boston River and Zamora FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Boston River
Saturday, February 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Zamora FC had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Zamora FC win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Zamora FC |
36.84% ( 0.1) | 29.37% ( 0.05) | 33.79% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 43.77% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
