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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Preston North End logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Preston


Miller (41'), Sousa (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (43')
Keane (17'), McCann (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Preston North End

While Plymouth would probably take another point, that is not the case with Preston who cannot afford more dropped points. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to throw caution to the wind in the latter stages in order to secure a maximum return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
38% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.55% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)69.9% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.18% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)60.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 38%
    Preston North End 36.55%
    Draw 25.44%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.87% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Preston

Plymouth Argyle
42.9%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
45.7%
35
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Preston
2-1
Plymouth
Holmes (1'), Millar (25')
Ledson (22'), Holmes (32'), McCann (89')
Hardie (61')
Miller (19')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Preston
Johnson (71' pen.)
St Ledger-Hall (18')
Mawene (90'), Jones (90')
Dec 12, 2009 3pm
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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