Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Preston North End |
38% ( -0.02) | 25.45% ( -0) | 36.55% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.29% ( 0.02) | 47.71% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.1% ( 0.02) | 69.9% ( -0.02) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0) | 24.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( 0) | 59.18% ( 0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( 0.02) | 25.46% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% ( 0.03) | 60.29% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
> Championship Full Table |