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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Leicester logo

Plymouth
1 - 0
Leicester

Bundu (21')
Miller (30'), Forshaw (41'), Hardie (49'), Whittaker (50'), Waine (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndidi (45+4'), Vestergaard (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leicester City

Given the manner in which Plymouth have improved of late, we would not be surprised to see the Pilgrims earn a share of the spoils here. However, the Foxes' superior quality in the final third may lead to them edging a late win at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
25.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 21.77% (0.012 0.01) 52.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.03% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.97% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)58.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)62.09% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)13.78% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.055 -0.05)41.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.33%
    Leicester City 52.9%
    Draw 21.77%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.9%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Leicester

Plymouth Argyle
12.8%
Draw
18.3%
Leicester City
68.8%
109
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Leicester
4-0
Plymouth
Mavididi (14' pen., 52'), Daka (49'), Ndidi (55')

Gibson (42'), Miller (44'), Galloway (67')
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Leicester
Noone (39')
Arnason (26')
Arnason (32' og.)
Brown (54'), Gallagher (78')
Nov 21, 2009 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Leicester
0-1
Plymouth

Howard (30'), Hume (78'), Laczko (90')
Halmosi (34')
Connolly (45')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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