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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Bristol City

Plymouth
0 - 1
Bristol City


Devine (54'), Gibson (62'), Houghton (90')
Devine (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wells (57')
Twine (28'), Pring (88'), Wells (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Bristol City

Regardless of their recent struggles, Plymouth will be targeting Monday's home match as a massive opportunity to earn maximum points in their bid for survival. Bristol City had to be on top form to secure victory over Leicester last time out, although we feel that the Robins' inconsistency is set to strike once more at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol City
31.99% (-0.425 -0.42) 25.47% (-0.101 -0.1) 42.55% (0.531 0.53)
Both teams to score 55.07% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (0.302 0.3)48.68% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (0.275 0.28)70.8% (-0.268 -0.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.125 -0.13)28.69% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)64.52% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.22% (0.392 0.39)22.78% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.52% (0.571 0.57)56.48% (-0.566 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 31.99%
    Bristol City 42.55%
    Draw 25.47%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.99%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.15% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.048 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.3% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.55%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bristol City

Plymouth Argyle
42.2%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
37.8%
45
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
4-1
Plymouth
Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
Randell (26')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Wells (82')
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Weimann (55')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
0-1
Plymouth

Weimann (86')
Songo'o (27')
Songo'o (17'), Carey (49'), Ladapo (59'), Smith-Brown (67')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-0
Plymouth
Hegeler (2'), Baker (14'), Smith (19'), Hinds (39'), Paterson (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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