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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
West Brom logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
West Brom

Rogers (40')
Howson (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

In theory, Middlesbrough should be full of confidence following their EFL Cup success on Tuesday, but a fresh wave of injury concerns threaten to hinder the hosts this weekend. West Brom have not been at their best since the 2-0 win over Ipswich Town last month, although the Baggies should be good enough for a point at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
39.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 26.03% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 34.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.98% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.58% (-0.146 -0.15)50.42% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.128 -0.13)72.35% (0.127 0.13)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)25.29% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)60.06% (0.052 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.123 -0.12)27.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-0.156 -0.16)63.31% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 39.13%
    West Bromwich Albion 34.84%
    Draw 26.02%
MiddlesbroughDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs West Brom

Middlesbrough
32.7%
Draw
36.7%
West Bromwich Albion
30.6%
49
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
4-2
Middlesbrough
Kipre (22'), Swift (28'), Thomas-Asante (47'), Sarmiento (90+1')
Ajayi (74'), Sarmiento (90+5')
Latte Lath (29'), Forss (85' pen.)
Smith (32'), Rogers (44')
Smith (51')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
West Brom
2-0
Middlesbrough
Dike (8', 10')
Jul 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
1-1
West Brom
Jones (10')
Howson (40'), Bola (59')
Swift (51')
Bruce (59'), Swift (61')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Middlesbrough
2-1
West Brom
McNair (60'), Tavernier (69')
Jones (86'), Howson (90+2')
Molumby (28')
Molumby (31'), Reach (37'), Furlong (86')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
West Brom
1-1
Middlesbrough
Diangana (65')
Kipre (46'), Diangana (49'), Snodgrass (90+1')
Coburn (38')
McNair (24'), Peltier (30'), Jones (65'), Howson (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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