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Championship | Gameweek 41
Jul 4, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Derby
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Martin (90+6')
Sibley (80')
Waghorn (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lolley (12')
Ameobi (90+1'), Ribeiro (90+3'), Worrall (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams' leveller came deep in second-half stoppage time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Nottingham Forest, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
49.62%24.77%25.61%
Both teams to score 53.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73%49.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67%71.32%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01%51.99%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67%70.33%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Nottingham Forest 25.61%
    Draw 24.77%
Derby CountyDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 8.74%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 25.61%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
Mar 11, 2018 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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