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Championship | Gameweek 39
Jun 27, 2020 at 1pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Reading logo

Derby
2 - 1
Reading

Lawrence (44'), Rooney (45+2' pen.)
Lawrence (13'), Shinnie (74'), Holmes (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rinomhota (62')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams have won their last four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship meeting between Derby County and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReading
49.62%25.67%24.71%
Both teams to score 49.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45%53.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94%75.06%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.39%21.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.29%54.71%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22%36.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43%73.57%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.61%
    Reading 24.71%
    Draw 25.66%
Derby CountyDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.95%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.56%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 24.71%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Reading
3-0
Derby
Adam (5' pen.), Joao (58'), Meite (87' pen.)
Adam (62'), Blackett (82')

Lawrence (36'), Knight (55'), Lowe (60'), Holmes (74'), Bogle (80'), Sibley (82'), Forsyth (86')
Malone (4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Derby
2-1
Reading
Holmes (3'), Wilson (40')
Malone (69'), Holmes (81')
Aluko (66')
Ejaria (65')
Aug 3, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 1
Reading
1-2
Derby
Dadi Bodvarsson (52')
Meyler (37'), Kelly (38'), Meite (88')
Mount (60'), Lawrence (90')
Wisdom (22'), Bryson (43'), Lowe (46'), Johnson (88')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Reading
3-3
Derby
Kelly (16'), Barrow (32'), Dadi Bodvarsson (80')
Richards (49'), Moore (83')
Palmer (6'), Keogh (35'), Lawrence (46')
Olsson (20'), Palmer (50'), Keogh (83'), Weimann (83'), Carson (86')
Baird (85')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
Derby
2-4
Reading
Russell (71'), Martin (90')
Winnall (23'), Nugent (60'), Johnson (81'), Martin (84')
Moore (9'), Aluko (13'), Beerens (54'), Barrow (75')
Gunter (32'), Barrow (67'), Mannone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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