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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Birmingham logo

Derby
1 - 2
Birmingham

FT(HT: 1-0)
Jutkiewicz (62', 84')

The Match

Match Report

Lukas Jutkiewicz scored twice as Blues came from behind to beat Wayne Rooney's men.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (13.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBirmingham City
35.98%30.59%33.42%
Both teams to score 40.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.05%66.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.77%85.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79%37.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01%73.99%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 35.97%
    Birmingham City 33.42%
    Draw 30.59%
Derby CountyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 13.18%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.59%
0-1 @ 13.03%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 33.42%

How you voted: Derby vs Birmingham

Derby County
41.9%
Draw
14.5%
Birmingham City
43.5%
62
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
0-4
Derby
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Derby
3-1
Birmingham
Bennett (53'), Wilson (55'), Marriott (73')
Jutkiewicz (10')
Camp (51'), Gardner (65'), Morrison (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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