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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Derby

Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams remain fourth from bottom, four points above Rotherham who have three games in hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
44.13%27.63%28.23%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4%36.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62%73.38%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 44.13%
    Derby County 28.23%
    Draw 27.63%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
57.0%
Draw
17.7%
Derby County
25.3%
79
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
0-0
Blackburn
Bogle (76'), Waghorn (90')
Williams (46'), Palmer (49'), Lenihan (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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