Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.