MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 00:57:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Southampton logo

Bristol City
3 - 1
Southampton

Bell (52'), Dickie (72'), Cornick (82')
Vyner (65'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (90+5' pen.)
Fraser (90+2'), Deen Sulemana (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Southampton

Southampton will be eyeing their 20th Championship win of the campaign on Tuesday evening, but it will be tough against a solid Bristol City outfit. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared in this match, but we just have a feeling that the Saints will shade it to secure a vital three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Bristol City win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
19.64% (-0.206 -0.21) 21.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 58.99% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.54% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96% (-0.386 -0.39)41.04% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.57% (-0.396 -0.4)63.43% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)34.56% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (-0.461 -0.46)71.28% (0.462 0.46)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)13.59% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (-0.138 -0.14)40.73% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 19.64%
    Southampton 58.99%
    Draw 21.36%
Bristol CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.64%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.22% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 58.99%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Southampton

Bristol City
19.8%
Draw
17.9%
Southampton
62.3%
106
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
Southampton
0-1
Bristol City

Schneiderlin (65'), Fox (90')
Pearson (79')
Carey (34'), Wilson (61'), Pearson (69'), James (90'), Maynard (90')
Nov 26, 2011 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Bristol City
2-0
Southampton
Adebola (34'), Sproule (90')
Fontaine (56'), Orr (86'), Williams (89')

Skacel (15'), Surman (50'), Schneiderlin (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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