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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Southampton
4 - 0
Sheff Weds

Adams (35'), Armstrong (63'), Fraser (75'), Mara (85')
Bednarek (56'), Armstrong (59'), Downes (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernard (10'), Bannan (52'), Ihiekwe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have certainly come on leaps and bounds in recent months and will fancy themselves to go toe to toe with any Championship side, but Saturday's trip to the in-form promotion-hopefuls may be a step too far, and we can only envisage Russell Martin's side outclassing the Owls at St Mary's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
63.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 20.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.090000000000003 0.09)66.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.043999999999997 0.04)13.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.083999999999996 0.08)40.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96% (0.035 0.04)77.04% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.21%
    Sheffield Wednesday 16.08%
    Draw 20.71%
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Southampton vs Sheff Weds

Southampton
92.1%
Draw
5.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Sheff Weds
1-2
Southampton
Gregory (54')
Gregory (28'), Paterson (30'), Delgado (45+1'), Dawson (78')
Armstrong (8'), Adams (87')
Armstrong (27'), Manning (37'), Tella (64'), Stephens (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Sheff Weds
Southampton win 6-5 on penalties
Ward-Prowse (45+2' pen.)
Windass (24')
Sep 25, 2012 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 25, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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