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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
VfL Bochum

Werder Bremen
3 - 0
VfL Bochum

Fullkrug (29'), Schmidt (43'), Ducksch (59')
Friedl (45+1'), Pieper (47'), Jung (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Schlotterbeck (45+1'), Hofmann (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Freiburg
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 VfL Bochum

Neither side will be at full strength due to a combination of injury and suspension issues, but we still expect Werder to edge to victory given Bochum's wretched record on the road this season. The relegation strugglers have lost 10 of their 11 away games in the Bundesliga, conceding 32 goals and scoring only seven. Having blanked in his last three matches, Niclas Fullkrug will surely sense an opportunity to add to his tally of 13 league goals so far this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawVfL Bochum
43.61% (0.36799999999999 0.37) 24.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 32.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
Both teams to score 59.9% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59% (0.29 0.29)42.41% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.288 0.29)64.82% (-0.291 -0.29)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.27799999999999 0.28)19.65% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.454 0.45)51.63% (-0.456 -0.46)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)25.44% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 43.61%
    VfL Bochum 32.29%
    Draw 24.1%
Werder BremenDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 2% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs VfL Bochum

Werder Bremen
80.4%
Draw
9.8%
VfL Bochum
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
VfL Bochum
0-2
Werder Bremen

Zoller (39'), Lambropoulos (90+1')
Fullkrug (86', 90+2')
Weiser (33'), Pieper (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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