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Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Moreirense

Boavista
1 - 0
Moreirense

Hamache (34')
Nathan (45+2')
Nathan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pacheco (19'), Vitoria (79')

Preview: Boavista vs. Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of an emphatic 5-1 cup win over Braga, Boavista play host to Moreirense at the Estadio do Bessa XXI in round 15 of the Primeira Liga on Sunday.

The visitors head into this on a six-game winless run in the league and will be aiming to end this dry spell and move out of the relegation places.


Match preview

Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020© Reuters

Boavista maintained their perfect record in the Taca da Liga last Thursday when they eased to a emphatic 5-1 victory over Braga on home turf.

After Gustavo Sauer, Petar Musa and Yusupha Njie put the hosts in a comfortable three-goal lead heading into the break, Nathan Santos and Sauer netted either side of Iuri Medeiros's 53rd-minute penalty cap off a brilliant team performance.

However, Petit's men now return to the Primeira Liga where they are on a run of 11 games without a win, stretching back to August, when they claimed successive victories over Pacos de Ferreira and Santa Clara.

With 12 points from their opening 14 games, Boavista are currently 14th in the Primeira Liga standings, three points and three places above Sunday's visitors.

Their struggles so far has been down to their lack of defensive sturdiness as they have conceded 25 goals to date, and their poor run away from home, where they are yet to pick up a win and boast the division's second worst record with just two points from seven games.

Moreirense's Lazar Rosic in action on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, Moreirense failed to move out of the relegation places last time out as they fell to a slender 1-0 loss at the hands of Portimonense.

In a cagey contest at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Portuguese forward Aylton Boa Morte came up trumps for the visitors as he scored the only goal of the game with three minutes remaining on the clock.

Moreirense have now failed to taste victory in any of their most recent six league outings, picking up three draws and losing three since a 2-1 win over Arouca on September 25.

While Lito Vidigal's men will be aiming to end this dry spell, next up is an opposing side who they have failed to defeat in four of the last five meetings between the sides, with a 1-0 win in June 2020 being the only exception.

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L

Boavista form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Moreirense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L


Team News

Moreirense players including Mateus Pasinato speak to the referee in January 2021© Reuters

Boavista will have to make do with the absence of 22-year-old midfielder Miguel Reisinho, who sustained a knee injury in the game versus Pacos de Ferreira on August 16.

However, they will be boosted by the return of fellow midfielder Gaius Makouta, who has now served his suspension after receiving his marching orders in the draw with Maritimo on December 4.

Following his side's stunning victory over Braga last time out, Petit could name an unchanged starting lineup on Sunday, meaning we could see a front three of Gustavo Sauer, Petar Musa and Yusupha Nije.

Moreirense, meanwhile, will be without the services of the Brazilian midfielder Galego, who has been sidelined through injury.

Godfried Frimpong is also out of contention for the visitors after the Portuguese youngster picked up a severe injury in September's game against Santa Clara.

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Beiranvand; Cannon, Garcia, Abascal; Hamache, Makouta, Santos, Perez; Njie, Musa, Sauer

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Kewin; Paulinho, Rosic, Vitoria, Conte; Camara, Pacheco; Walterson, Pires, Yan; Luis


SM words green background

We say: Boavista 1-1 Moreirense

With three points and three places between the sides in the league standings, we expect a close contest on Sunday. Both sides are in similar form and we predict they will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:473262:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9487:
Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boavista in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Boavista vs Moreirense

Boavista
64.3%
Draw
35.7%
Moreirense
0.0%
14
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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