Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
Union SG3 - 1Beerschot VA
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dender 0-0 Union SG
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Beerschot VA 0-0 Leuven
Saturday, July 27 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, July 27 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
We said: Union SG 2-0 Beerschot Wilrijk
While Beerschot made a promising return to the top flight last week, they face a significant step up in class of opponent here, and we feel they will struggle to keep up with the hosts in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 1-0 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
59.08% ( 0.04) | 20.5% ( -0.02) | 20.42% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.04) | 35.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.14% ( 0.04) | 57.86% ( -0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( 0.02) | 11.9% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.05) | 37.24% ( -0.05) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( -0) | 30.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( -0) | 67.01% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Union SG 59.08%
Beerschot Wilrijk 20.42%
Draw 20.5%
| Union SG | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 20.42% |
How you voted: Union SG vs Beerschot VA
Union SG
88.1%Draw
9.5%Beerschot Wilrijk
2.4%42
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 5.30pm
Form Guide
