MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 09:51:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Genk

Union SG
2 - 0
Genk

Vanhoutte (37'), Nilsson (80' pen.)
Teklab (42'), Vanhoutte (66'), Burgess (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zeqiri (63')
El Ouahdi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 1-0 Antwerp
Monday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Union SG 2-1 Genk

Needing all three points to stand any chance of being crowned champions, Union SG are faced with a must-win clash this weekend, and we are backing them to rise up to the task and come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
51.55% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 23% (0.012 0.01) 25.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.86% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.03% (0.036000000000008 0.04)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)16.24% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)65.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 51.55%
    Genk 25.46%
    Draw 22.99%
Union SGDrawGenk
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.55%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Union SG vs Genk

Union SG
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Genk
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
1-0
Union SG

Sykes (83'), Castro-Montes (90+6')
Burgess (90+5')
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Genk
0-1
Union SG

Hrosovsky (53')
El Amine Amoura (67')
Moris (16'), Burgess (25'), Nilsson (71'), Vanhoutte (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Union SG
0-2
Genk

Vanhoutte (34')
Zeqiri (16'), Galarza (90+2')
Oyen (29'), El Khannous (43'), Munoz (45+1'), Galarza (45+3'), Paintsil (51'), Kayembe (56')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
1-1
Union SG
McKenzie (13')
Okoh Boniface (39')
Burgess (44'), El Azzouzi (52')
May 14, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union SG
3-0
Genk
Burgess (12', 81'), Teuma (68' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk22153444281648
2Club BruggeBrugge22145351252647
3Union SGUnion SG22910331191237
4Anderlecht22106638211736
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp22106640241636
6GentGent228863125632
7Standard Liege228771522-731
8CharleroiCharleroi2284102326-328
9Dender227782734-728
10MechelenMechelen227693629727
11Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge227692332-927
12Leuven2251071924-525
13Westerlo2265113739-223
14Sint-Truiden2257102743-1622
15KortrijkKortrijk2253141742-2518
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA2227132147-2613


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