Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Genk had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
