Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Genk in this match.